The COVID-19 disease has an exponential growth rate. India has now witnessed its largest single-day increase in the number of infected people and this has resulted in unprecedented lockdown in several parts of the country. If the data collected by Rukmini S from The Print is to be believed, this is where the country is headed to.
India took 40 days to reach its first 50 causes. The 100 cases mark was reached in the next 5 days. In the next 3 days, we were at 150 cases and in 2 more days we reached 200. From what we know, the situation is going to get more serious from here with a more rapid increase in the number of COVID-19 cases.
The examples of other countries like South Korea and Italy can be taken into consideration in order to know what to do. Initially, Italy had fewer cases but it took little time for the numbers to skyrocket. On the other hand, Korea managed to control the situation and flatten the curve.
As of now, India’s trajectory is on the brink of exploding upwards. Strict measures for social distancing and lockdown have been put in place. However, the country also needs a heavy implementation of conservative testing.
According to WHO, there is a 3.4 percent fatality rate relative to confirmed COVID-19 cases. Going by the country’s trajectory, a report says that by the end of May, the number of confirmed cases India will reach around 9 lakh. In this situation, there will be more than 30,000 deaths.
As per the 2017 data, the nation has only 0.5 beds per 1000 people. If the current growth rate continues, we will be out of hospital beds by early June.
Apparently, India has around 70,000 ICU beds and 4000 ventilators. If the number of cases keeps going up at this rate, it will soon overwhelm our medical system. Some states in the country will suffer more. For example, there is just 1 government hospital bed per 1 lakh people in Bihar.
We hope that the government succeeds in its efforts to increase healthcare support to tackle what’s in store for the country.